Epic Nation

Sunday, October 17, 2004

Gallup: Bush over Kerry 52% to 44%

The latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, which tracked likely voters from 10/14-10/16, has Bush up by 8.

Like most polls we'll be seeing over the closing weeks of this campaign I think this one shouldn't be taken too seriously. A poll can only represent a snap-shot of the period in which it was taken, and cannot give an accurate description of the overall race.

For a more comprehensive and reliable state of the race I suggest Real Clear Politics, which is a weighted sum of all the polls from each period. Right now they have Bush over Kerry by 4 points, a more likely number.

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